17
Nov
2015
Go Forth and Multiply Bask
Hey, can someone locate an “authoritative” forecast on per capita global real GDP growth for the long term? I just need a ballpark figure, like, “The IMF / World Bank / Magic 8 Ball says that per capita real GDP will grow an average of 1.5% annually through 2060…”
The actual figure is not important, I just want something to cite for an argument I’m making. I did a quick google and couldn’t find anything beyond forecasts for the next few years.
This one goes to 2060: https://data.oecd.org/gdp/gdp-long-term-forecast.htm#indicator-chart
Thanks Jeff!
Actually Jeff I think that’s total GDP, not per capita?
When it comes to “authoritative” forecasts, the guy you want goes by the name Paul Ehrlich. No discussion is complete without a quick rundown of the reigning world champion wrongologist.
Interview would be even better if there’s any way to tee that up.
Just do what the authoritative economic forecasters already do- pull a number out of your as*.
If you haven’t found this already, I think this report has what you’re looking for as an annex table:
http://www.oecd.org/eco/outlook/2060policynote.pdf
BOOM this is perfect Bob D thanks. (Maybe your link had it too Jeff, thanks for the effort.)