Steve thinks that Hillary Clinton should pick Jeb Bush as her VP, and that in so doing she would win in a landslide. I said in a comment: “I think if Hillary and Jeb were on the same ticket, Trump would quite plausibly tell people, “See folks? There’s no Dem vs. Rep. It’s the elites versus you. Let’s make America great again, they clearly don’t want me to upset their plans to screw you over.”” (I had first asked him to clarify if he personally wanted Clinton to beat Trump, and if so, why.)
To this Steve responded:
Bob Murphy (#92):
1) Yes, I would *VASTLY* prefer Clinton/Bush to Trump,for a variety of reasons. Key among them is, as you put it “minimizing mean square destruction”. Trump, if elected, is probably Berlusconi but plausibly Mussolini.
2) Another reason: With Trump in the White House, I think the most plausible scenario is that nobody in power opposes him from the right. The Republicans crumble and fall into line; the Democrats are delighted with his anti-trade pro-regulation pro-tax statism. With Hilary in the White House, there will be congressional opposition and, thank God, probable deadlock.
3) Yes, I’m sure that a Clinton/Bush ticket will fire up the Trump voters as you say, but I don’t see where it brings in any *new* Trump voters. At the same time, it gives the vast army of anti-Trump Republicans psychological cover for voting for a Democrat. So I think it locks up the election for Clinton.
In short: I’m saying that this would be both good strategy for Clinton and very good for the country. (Where “very good”, of course, is relative to the realistic alternatives, not to anything I’d design.)
Wow. I think Clinton vs. Trump is like getting the flu versus kicked in the crotch: I know what the flu is like, and it’s awful. I actually don’t know how bad getting kicked in the crotch would be, but it’s different. For sure I would prefer to receive neither.
But if I’m agnostic on who would be worse (largely because Trump is so unpredictable), I am quite sure that if Hillary Clinton picked Jeb Bush as her running mate, that Trump would win. He would pick up some votes, and there would be tons of Clinton voters who would stay home or vote Jill Stein. This would swamp, in my opinion, the number of Republicans that Clinton would gain. Indeed, there might be a rush of people to vote for Trump, once they see just how much we have a one party system right now, were the Clinton and Bush dynasties to formally unite on the same ticket.
Last thing: I hadn’t thought of the gridlock aspect, so Steve has a good point there. But, it’s hard to evaluate that point, when lots of people are complaining about Trump being so divisive that no one will work with him, and he won’t get anything accomplished.